PUBLISHED MATH
Odds and expected value.
Numbers come from the live pack engine — the same weights and locked expected prize values used when a pack opens. Expected prize values describe catalog prizes; they are not live retail quotes.
Editions
| Edition | Price | Expected prize value | Everyday | Little upgrade | Big find | Dream prize |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budget | $1 | $0.87 | 97.1% | 2.45% | 0.44% | 0.049% |
| Mid | $10 | $8.24 | 82.5% | 14.9% | 2.49% | 0.13% |
| Premium | $50 | $43.44 | 61.4% | 27.5% | 10.6% | 0.52% |
Every catalog price
| Level | Price | Expected prize value | Everyday | Little upgrade | Big find | Dream prize |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | $1 | $0.87 | 97.1% | 2.45% | 0.44% | 0.049% |
| Plus | $2.50 | $2.17 | 93.3% | 5.75% | 0.89% | 0.072% |
| Select | $5 | $4.24 | 88.9% | 9.29% | 1.76% | 0.093% |
| Premium | $10 | $8.24 | 82.5% | 14.9% | 2.49% | 0.13% |
| Elite | $20 | $16.35 | 73.9% | 20.9% | 4.96% | 0.26% |
| Signature | $50 | $43.44 | 61.4% | 27.5% | 10.6% | 0.52% |
Expected value is locked per pack after retune, typically 70–90% of price. Sample column uses Apple Dreams; each theme keeps its own locked EV.
Expected value by theme
- Apple Dreams — Budget $1 EV $0.87; Mid $10 EV $8.24; Premium $50 EV $43.44
- Everyday Essentials — Budget $1 EV $0.80; Mid $10 EV $7.85; Premium $50 EV $42.23
- Weekend Mode — Budget $1 EV $0.87; Mid $10 EV $8.36; Premium $50 EV $42.48
- Shoes — Budget $1 EV $0.85; Mid $10 EV $8.10; Premium $50 EV $42.74
- Men's Fashion — Budget $1 EV $0.87; Mid $10 EV $7.60; Premium $50 EV $40.85
- Women's Fashion — Budget $1 EV $0.85; Mid $10 EV $7.89; Premium $50 EV $40.70
- Kitchen — Budget $1 EV $0.73; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Pets — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Beauty — Budget $1 EV $0.71; Mid $10 EV $7.47; Premium $50 EV $38.19
- Golf — Budget $1 EV $0.75; Mid $10 EV $7.39; Premium $50 EV $38.23
- Home — Budget $1 EV $0.72; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Garage — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Travel — Budget $1 EV $0.72; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Fitness — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Coffee — Budget $1 EV $0.72; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Desk — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Watches — Budget $1 EV $0.72; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Fuel — Budget $1 EV $0.71; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Kids & Toys — Budget $1 EV $0.73; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $43
- Tech Accessories — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Wellness — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.47; Premium $50 EV $44
- Gaming — Budget $1 EV $0.72; Mid $10 EV $7.35; Premium $50 EV $40.52
- Baby — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $40.50
- Running — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Boomer — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Stocking Stuffers — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Christmas Gifts — Budget $1 EV $0.71; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Friendsgiving — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Dad — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- College Dorm — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
- Pet Parents — Budget $1 EV $0.70; Mid $10 EV $7.42; Premium $50 EV $37.81
Shipping
Base $20 plus handling $0 / $10 / $30 / $80 (standard / large / bulky / freight). Denied sourcing refunds that shipping once.
FAQ
What is Snag?
Snag is a U.S. consumer storefront at snag.city, operated by Higher LLC. You add cash with Shopify, open a themed mystery pack, and receive a prize IOU — an obligation to source that item. Redeem it for shipping or sell it for 100% of expected prize value back into wallet balance.
How much do packs cost?
Catalog packs are $1, $2.50, $5, $10, $20, and $50. The Packs browser groups those as Budget $1, Mid $10, and Premium $50 editions per theme. Expected prize values describe the catalog prize; they are not live retail quotes.
What are the odds?
Every pack publishes four tiers: Everyday, Little upgrade, Big find, and Dream prize. A Budget $1 pack is about 97% Everyday, 2.5% Little upgrade, 0.45% Big find, and 0.05% Dream. Higher prices raise the chance of upgrades. Expected prize value is locked near 70–90% of the pack price. Exact numbers live on /odds and each pack page.
How does shipping work?
Redeeming a prize IOU creates a Shopify fulfillment order. Standard shipping is a $20 base fee plus handling by class: standard $0, large $10, bulky $30, freight $80. Fees are illustrative U.S. demo amounts, not live carrier quotes. If ops cannot source a prize, collected shipping is refunded to the same wallet.
Can I get a refund?
A Shopify refund or cancellation reverses unused wallet credit from that order. Pack opens already spent are not cashable. If a prize cannot be sourced, shipping charged for that redemption is refunded once. Selling a prize returns 100% of its expected prize value to balance — that is not a payment refund. Balance is for packs and shipping, not a bank payout.
How do creator packs work?
Signed-in creators publish a public storefront at /@handle. They pick catalog products; Snag’s pack engine sets the price and odds so expected value stays between 70% and 90% of price. Creators earn 5% of each paid open as Snag credit, held about 5 days so refunds can reverse. Opens they make themselves do not pay.
How do merchant packs work?
Shopify merchants install the Snag app, pick products from their catalog, and embed a mystery pack on their theme. The same engine sets price and odds. Merchants cannot publish a mix that is expected to lose money. Snag’s default application fee is 5%.